灰色模型与智能算法组合模型在变形预测中的应用     

张玉堂  程新文 《地理空间信息》2011,9(2):109-111

变形监测工程是一个复杂的综合系统,各种参数具有很大的不确定性.目前变形的预测分析多采用单一的预测方法,而各种方法都有各自的优缺点和应用范围,有时单一的预测方法对判定工程性质带来了困难.引入了组合预测的思想,在灰色GM(1,1)模型的基础上,构建了灰色+GA+BP神经网络组合模型,探索了时间序列的数据处理和预报问题,通过...  相似文献   

气候变暖对江南双季稻灌浆期的影响及其观测规范探讨   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8       下载免费PDF全文

曾凯  周玉  宋忠华 《气象》2011,37(4):468-473

通过对南方的江西、湖南、湖北3省4个台站双季水稻灌浆期气温及发育进程观测,以及千粒重、灌浆速度的加密观测,发现近16年来江南双季早稻、双季晚稻、一季稻生殖生长期的平均气温均升高2℃左右,早、晚稻抽穗一乳熟期天数缩短了6天左右,早、晚稻抽穗一成熟期天数分别缩短了6天左右和5天左右.气候变暖伴随着水分胁迫,回归分析显示,灌...  相似文献   

Grain‐Size Characteristics of Dune Networks in China's Tengger Desert          下载免费PDF全文

Zhengcai Zhang  Zhibao Dong  Jiyan Li 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2015,97(4):681-693

Grain‐size characteristics of dune networks in the Tengger Desert of northwestern China were investigated. Grain‐size parameters (mean, standard deviation, skew, and kurtosis) were determined on dune surfaces at windward toe, stoss, crest and leeward toe locations. Multiple discriminant analyses were applied to distinguish deposition environments. Results indicated that the aeolian sediment is mainly composed of very fine and fine sand in the dune networks of the Tengger Desert. Sorting improves as grain size becomes finer. However, the relationships between mean grain size, skew, and kurtosis vary in space. There is a negative relationship between skew and sorting; similarly, the relationships between sorting and skew, and skew and kurtosis change in space. The sediment deposition environment includes aeolian sediment and lacustrine sediment. The lacustrine sediment provides the source material for dune windward toe and stoss formation and development, but the aeolian sediment provides the source material for dune crest and leeward toe formation and development. According to the log‐probability of grain size distributions, aeolian sediments in dune networks are composed of two distinct saltation populations.  相似文献   

菲律宾海北部四国海盆全新世沉积物源分析     

韩卓尘  高抒  李艳平 《海洋学报》2015,37(2):11-24

对IODP333航次四国海盆北部地区C0011站位表层样品进行粒度和Sr-Nd同位素分析,并与前人发表的邻近海域同位素数据进行比较。经分离自生碳酸盐组分,四国海盆全新世沉积物呈现较好的陆源、火山源二端元组分特征。从地理位置看,四国海盆北部主要物质来源包括伊豆-小笠原海脊火山物质、日本列岛西南部的混合型沉积物以及由西向风或河流入海洋流输送而来的亚洲陆地沉积物,且日本列岛西南部对于该区域物质贡献最大。对四国海盆北部而言,与海盆中部沉积及日本海沉积相比,源自亚洲大陆的碎屑沉积物具有更多的贡献。沉积物中87Sr/86Sr与εNd、平均粒径的负相关关系反映了沉积物中陆源物质的相对贡献按时间顺序呈现增加、减小、增加、减少的多周期变化趋势。  相似文献   

楚科奇海盆M04柱晚更新世以来沉积古环境记录   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

章伟艳  于晓果  刘焱光  金路  叶黎明  许冬  边叶萍  张德玉  姚旭莹  张富元 《海洋学报》2015,37(7):85-96

对"中国第五次北极科考"采自楚科奇海盆的M04柱进行粒度、冰筏碎屑、黏土矿物、岩心XRF扫描、沉积物颜色分析,初步建立了楚科奇海盆晚更新世MIS4期以来的沉积地层框架。MIS4期以来,楚科奇海盆M04柱沉积物粒度和黏土矿物组成具有明显的冰期/间冰期变化特征,冰期沉积物粒度分布以双峰态为主,由洋流搬运和海冰搬运沉积组分组成,伊利石含量高、高岭石含量低;间冰期沉积物具有三峰态粒度分布特征,由海冰搬运、洋流搬运和冰山搬运沉积组分组成,伊利石含量低、高岭石含量高。通过M04柱黏土矿物组合类型与北冰洋边缘海盆的表层沉积物黏土矿物组合类型对比表明,晚更新世以来楚科奇海盆沉积环境发生显著变化:温暖的间冰期受波弗特涡流驱动,波弗特海为研究区的物源输入提供了主要贡献;寒冷的冰期表层环流呈反向输运,细颗粒物源碎屑以东西伯利亚海的输入为主。  相似文献   

红树林海岸的沉积物输运和碳沉降特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

屠强  杨圣云  周秋麟  杨娟 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(2):21-26

Mangroves play an important role in sequestering carbon and trapping sediments. However, the effectiveness of such functions is unclear due to the restriction of knowledge on the sedimentation process across the vegetation boundaries. To detect the effects of mangrove forests on sediment transportation and organic carbon sequestration, the granulometric and organic carbon characteristics of mangrove sediments were investigated from three vegetation zones of four typical mangrove habitats on the Leizhou Peninsula coast. Based on our results, sediment transport was often "environmentally sensitive" to the vegetation friction. A transition of the sediment transport mode from the mudflat zone to the interior/fringe zone was often detected from the cumulative frequency curve. The vegetation cover also assists the trapping of material, resulting in a significantly higher concentration of organic carbon in the interior surface sediments. However, the graphic parameters of core sediments reflected a highly temporal variability due to the sedimentation process at different locations. The sediment texture ranges widely from sand to mud, although the sedimentary environments are restricted within the same energy level along the fluvial-marine transition zone. Based on the PCA results, the large variation was mainly attributed to either the mean grain size features or the organic carbon features. A high correlation between the depth and δ13C value also indicated an increasing storage of mangrove-derived organic carbon with time.  相似文献   

Grain size composition and transport of sedimentary organic carbon in the Changjiang River (Yangtze River) Estuary and Hangzhou Bay and their adjacent waters     

ZHANG Weiyan  JIN Haiyan  YAO Xuying  JI Zhongqiang  ZHANG Xiaoyu  YU Xiaoguo  ZHANG Fuyuan  GAO Aigen 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(10):46-56

Surface sediments from the Changjiang River(Yangtze River) Estuary,Hangzhou Bay,and their adjacent waters were analyzed for their grain size distribution,organic carbon(OC) concentration,and stable carbon isotope composition(δ13C).Based on this analysis,about 36 surface sediment samples were selected from various environments and separated into sand(0.250 mm,0.125–0.250 mm,0.063–0.125 mm) and silt(0.025–0.063 mm)fractions by wet-sieving fractionation methods,and further into silt-(0.004–0.025 mm) and clay-sized(0.004mm) fractions by centrifugal fractionation.Sediments of six grain size categories were analyzed for their OC andδ13C contents to explore the grain size composition and transport paths of sedimentary OC in the study area.From fine to coarse fractions,the OC content was 1.18%,0.51%,0.46%,0.42%,0.99%,and 0.48%,respectively,while theδ13C was –21.64‰,–22.03‰,–22.52‰,–22.46‰,–22.36‰,and –22.28‰,respectively.In each size category,the OC contribution was 42.96%,26.06%,9.82%,5.75%,7.09%,and 8.33%,respectively.The OC content in clay and fine silt fractions(0.025 mm) was about 69.02%.High OC concentrations were mainly found in offshore modern sediments in the northeast of the Changjiang River Estuary,in modern sediments in the lower estuary of the Changjiang River and Hangzhou Bay,and in Cyclonic Eddy modern sediments to the southwest of the Cheju Island.Integrating the distribution of terrestrial OC content of each grain size category with the δ13C of the bulk sediment indicated that the terrestrial organic material in the Changjiang River Estuary was transported seaward and dispersed to the Cyclonic Eddy modern sediments to the southwest of the Cheju Island via two pathways:one was a result of the Changjiang River Diluted Water(CDW) northeastward extending branch driven by the North Jiangsu Coastal Current and the Yellow Sea Coastal Current,while the other one was the result of the CDW southward extending branch driven by the Taiwan Warm Current.  相似文献   

港口及临港工业围填海规模综合评价研究     

刘佰琼  徐敏  刘晴 《海洋科学》2015,39(6):81-87

针对港口及临港工业围填海的特点,运用多目标决策理论与方法,构建了港口及临港工业围填海规模评价指标体系,包括现状评定和综合影响两类评价因子,包含自然条件、社会经济条件、资源环境影响、效益评估四类评价要素,共计15个评价指标。并根据成本型、效益型和固定型指标的特点提出了各自的标准化方法,采用主客观综合赋权法确定评价因子的权重,采用线性加权和法计算港口及临港工业围填海规模方案的综合得分,以此为依据确定围填海规模的适宜程度和适宜等级。以江苏辐射沙洲半岛式浅滩腰沙为例,运用港口及临港工业围填海规模综合评价方法,确定腰沙海域最佳的港口及临港工业围填海规模为理论基面+3.0 m。提出的研究方法能够为沿海省市港口及临港工业围填海规模评价提供参考和方法借鉴,对于围填海规模决策和围填海总量控制指标的制定具有重要意义。  相似文献   

近2Ma帕里西-维拉海盆沉积物中碎屑组分粒度特征及其物源和古气候意义   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

周宇  蒋富清  徐兆凯  方海超  张晋  李安春 《海洋科学》2015,39(9):86-93

对帕里西-维拉海盆PV090102孔深海沉积物中碎屑组分进行了粒度分析。结果表明,沉积物碎屑组分的平均粒径为3.2μm,粒径总体变化范围在0.5~32μm,粒度频率分布呈双峰负偏态特征。利用Weibull分布函数对粒度数据进行拟合,分离出粗、细两个不同的端元组分。细粒端元的粒径分布范围较窄,大多在0.5~16μm,峰值较高,众数粒径约为2μm,其特征与北太平中部风尘一致,推测主要为来源于亚洲大陆的风尘,它的百分含量在60%~90%,是碎屑组分的主要物质来源。粗粒端元的粒径分布范围较宽,约为1.6~32μm,峰较扁平,粒径的众数在10μm左右,主要是来自于周围海脊和岛弧的火山物质。PV090102孔沉积物碎屑组分中不同粒度组分对近2 Ma以来亚洲大陆干旱和大气环流系统增强有很好的响应,同时还记录了0.5 Ma以来西太平洋火山活动增强。这些研究结果表明西北太平洋沉积物的粒度组成有助于重建第四纪以来东亚大陆干旱和大气环流历史。  相似文献   

冬、夏季渤黄海表层沉积物粒度特征差异及其成因分析     

王晓磊  冯秀丽  刘潇  刘杰  权永峥 《海洋科学》2015,39(8):63-69

对渤海、黄海海域冬、夏两季表层沉积物取样,通过激光粒度仪得出粒度参数,进而分析讨论冬季强的沿岸流的作用、黄海暖流、夏季冷水团的影响以及地形、海底地貌特征、物源特征等对表层沉积物分布造成的影响。结果表明,冬、夏两季渤黄海表层沉积物粒度特征总体上相差不大,但部分海域如渤海中北部、渤海中南部、北黄海西北部近渤海海峡北部海域、山东半岛东北部海域、南黄海中部沉积物粒度特征存在明显季节性差异。表层沉积物粒度特征季节性差异与地形地貌、沿岸流、黄海暖流、黄海冷水团及物源密切相关。本研究对于探讨渤黄海不同季节表层沉积物沉积特征的影响机制、了解渤黄海区海洋动力过程的季节差异有积极意义。  相似文献